Residential building statistics shows contracting construction phase in the first four months of 2018

Posted On Thursday, 21 June 2018 16:37 Published by
Rate this item
(0 votes)

Residential building activity in the planning phase improved, with the construction phase contracting in the first four months of 2018.

Jacques_Du_Toit_Absa_Hoam_Loans

Based on data published by Statistics South Africa in respect of building activity related to new private sector-financed housing (see explanatory note), the first four months of 2018 showed levels of activity in the planning phase (the number of building plans approved by local government institutions) growing on a year-on-year basis, with the construction phase (the number of housing units reported as completed) contracting compared with a year ago.

The number of building plans approved for new housing increased by 18,8% year-on-year (y/y), or 3 079 plans, to 19 423 plans in the period January to April this year, with this growth mainly driven by the segments for houses smaller than 80m² and flats and townhouses, which showed combined growth of more than 25% y/y in the 4-month period. 

New housing units reported as being completed dropped by 22,7% y/y, or 3 062 units, to a total of 10 440 units in the first four months of the year. As in the case of the planning phase, the segments of houses smaller than 80m² and flats and townhouses were mainly responsible for a combined contraction of 29% y/y in the period January to April.

The average building cost of new housing completed increased by 5,5% y/y to R7 437 per square meter in the first four months of 2018, compared with R7 049 per square meter a year ago. In real terms, i.e. after adjustment for inflation, residential building costs were up by 1,3% y/y in the 4month period, based on an average headline consumer price inflation rate of 4,2% y/y.

Building activity with regard to alterations and additions to existing houses remained under pressure, with both the building area approved and the building area reported as completed contracting marginally year-on-year in January to April. The building cost of completed alterations and additions to existing houses increased by 17,1% y/y to R7 196 per square meter in the 4-month period compared with R6 148 per square meter a year ago, with these building costs rising by 12,3% y/y in real terms, i.e. after adjustment for the effect of inflation. 

Building confidence remained on a downward trend up to mid-year after declining in the second quarter of the year to its lowest level since the third quarter of 2012. This came against the background of a contraction in the economy in the first quarter of 2018, continued financial pressure experienced by the household sector and uncertainty regarding the land reform process. In view of these developments and expectations of inflation rising to above 5% y/y in the second half of the year and continued relatively low economic growth this year, levels of residential building activity are forecast to remain largely in line with those of the past few years.

The average building cost per square meter in the three categories of new housing was as follows in January to April 2018:

  • Houses of <80m²: R5 485, up by 15,5% y/y.
  • Houses of ≥80m²: R7 387, up by 4,5% y/y.
  • Flats and townhouses: R7 437, down by 0,8% y/y.

 

Last modified on Friday, 22 June 2018 05:33

Most Popular

Tshwane Regional Mall Is Inevitable

Jul 26, 2018
TSHWANE REGIONAL MALL
The company hosted a site walkabout to showcase this majestic development meant to…

2018 South African Institute Of Black Property Practitioners(SAIBPP) annual convetion to address'The new normal' In SA property

Jul 24, 2018
Nkuli Bogopa-SAIBPP
The South African Institute of Black Property Practitioners (SAIBPP) will be hosting its…

Investec Property Fund announces leadership changes

Jul 30, 2018
Nick Riley
Nick Riley to assume broader leadership role within Investec Bank Limited (“IBL”), with…

Liberty Two Degrees unlocks value in line with strategic objectives

Jul 25, 2018
Amelia Beattie
Liberty Two Degrees (“L2D”), a premier retail and South African focused REIT, today…

Intu Properties-Interim results for the six months ended 30 june 2018

Jul 26, 2018
DAVID FISCHEL
Intu Properties-Interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2018 winning…

Please publish modules in offcanvas position.