
Of the 100 markets analysed as part of Knight Frank’s Wealth Report 2016, Vancouver's growth outpaced other markets by some margin. A lack of supply, coupled with foreign demand, spurred on by a weaker Canadian dollar, explains Vancouver’s outstanding performance.
Kate Everett-Allen, partner, residential research at Knight Frank says, “The value of the world’s leading prime residential property markets rose on average by 1.8% in 2015. This was similar to the 2% overall growth seen in the previous year. However, in 2015 66% of the PIRI 100 locations recorded flat or positive price growth compared to 62% in 2014.”
Antipodean markets also performed well in 2015 with Sydney, Melbourne and Auckland recording double-digit annual price growth, up 15%, 12% and 10% respectively. Munich, Amsterdam, Monaco and Berlin are Europe’s standout performers, recording price growth of 12%, 10%, 10% and 9% respectively. The prime central London market remained in positive territory during 2015 (+1%) despite a raft of new property taxes.
Of the 34 locations where prime prices slipped in 2015, 22 of these were located in Europe. Nonetheless, there is renewed optimism that prices in many of the region’s most popular second-home destinations are close to bottoming out.
Buenos Aires and Lagos are located at the bottom of the PIRI rankings. Buenos Aires saw prices drop by 8% and prime prices in Lagos declined by as much as 20%. The US Federal Reserve’s recent rate rise, the resulting strong US dollar and the collapse in commodity prices help to explain the decline in these two markets.
The PIRI Top Ten
For the full PIRI 100 rankings please see appendix attached.
|
Ranking |
Location |
World Region |
Annual % change (Q4 2014-Q4 2015) |
|
|
1 |
Vancouver |
North America |
24.5% |
|
|
2 |
Sydney |
Australasia |
14.8% |
|
|
3 |
Shanghai |
Asia |
14.1% |
|
|
4 |
Istanbul |
Middle East |
13.0% |
|
|
5 |
Munich |
Europe |
12.0% |
|
|
6 |
Melbourne |
Australasia |
11.9% |
|
|
7 |
San Francisco |
North America |
10.9% |
|
|
8 |
Auckland |
Australasia |
10.2% |
|
|
9= |
Amsterdam |
Europe |
10.0% |
|
|
9= |
Monaco |
Europe |
10.0% |
Most Expensive Property
Monaco - for the ninth consecutive year – is confirmed as the most expensive city to buy luxury residential property, with US$1m buying just 17 square metres of accommodation. Hong Kong and London occupy second and third place offering 20 and 22 square metres respectively for US$1m.
The square metres of luxury property US$1m will buy around the world
As at Dec 2015
|
City |
How much does US$1m buy you in…? |
|
Monaco |
17 |
|
Hong Kong |
20 |
|
London |
22 |
|
New York |
27 |
|
Geneva |
40 |
|
Sydney |
40 |
|
Singapore |
42 |
|
Shanghai |
46 |
|
Paris |
57 |
|
Beijing |
58 |
Notes: Price ranges for Hong Kong, Beijing and Shanghai are for properties considered “Super-Prime”. Prices used in the calculation for Sydney and Hong Kong are based on apartments only and for New York, Los Angeles and Miami based on condos only. All currency calculations are based on the prevailing rate on 31 December 2015.
2016 Residential Hotspots
In a higher-interest rate and lower growth environment, picking the right residential property investment location becomes a more pressing issue. The Knight Frank Wealth Report highlights key future investment areas for 2016.**
Country - Vietnam: A country on an upward trajectory. New rules brought in during 2015 opened up property markets to foreign investors. The new metro line currently underway in Ho Chi Minh City will see District 2 and 9 outperform.
City - Los Angeles: Prices are growing underpinned by limited new supply, while demand flows have been bolstered by Asian buyers. Improvements of urban centres, retail and the wider lifestyle offer are opening up to new areas of investors.
Neighbourhood - Pimlico, London: One of central London’s very few overlooked residential markets. High-quality housing stock, riverside location and proximity to established prime markets ensures the area stands to benefit from major regeneration taking place in adjacent Victoria.
Second Home - Gold Coast: Arrival of the Commonwealth Games in 2018 has kickstarted investment. Competitive prices, compared with Australia’s top cities, plus strong fundamentals – local population growth and expanding tourism – underpin demand.
Ski - Meribel: The resort is increasingly viewed as the destination of choice in the Alps providing access to the world’s largest ski domain and a vibrant village atmosphere.